Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 83.603692 92.797633 102.262232 112.711230 123.901088 135.503009 148.419238
2025-02-02 69.923077 83.530758 98.247639 115.251178 134.258346 154.757251 178.440809
2025-02-09 61.399221 77.227889 94.938823 116.032413 140.276379 167.081037 198.765285
2025-02-16 56.643783 74.423368 94.889963 119.876698 149.240091 182.343389 222.167533
2025-02-23 51.707551 70.765140 93.285458 121.402630 155.103507 193.749836 240.953956
2025-03-02 45.948019 65.540553 89.309871 119.648327 156.713069 199.913686 253.441220
2025-03-09 41.445207 61.474299 86.376952 118.810969 159.124735 206.797204 266.614161
2025-03-16 37.863137 58.281665 84.259536 118.730370 162.252175 214.391425 280.549508
2025-03-23 36.184368 57.450368 85.026818 122.179201 169.682187 227.183510 300.793786
2025-03-30 33.685631 55.302813 83.911776 123.078171 173.819629 235.902107 316.101277
2025-04-06 31.402149 53.277988 82.809473 123.865990 177.724756 244.288075 331.006945
2025-04-13 28.074313 49.518296 79.145805 121.072226 176.859229 246.592160 338.304580
2025-04-20 27.188100 49.317272 80.401847 124.942689 184.798127 260.205137 360.026329
2025-04-27 25.909809 48.444081 80.664711 127.448260 190.974685 271.663080 379.197246
2025-05-04 24.252598 46.862071 79.813690 128.335923 194.948206 280.281203 394.803032
2025-05-11 23.673366 46.918263 81.294437 132.455207 203.268105 294.560362 417.715698
2025-05-18 22.441343 45.840190 81.045942 134.095832 208.224590 304.493292 435.134557
2025-05-25 20.368164 43.236534 78.400274 132.211707 208.290283 307.979125 444.241032
2025-06-01 18.716294 41.209653 76.511029 131.312510 209.627998 313.087489 455.429700
2025-06-08 17.388612 39.637548 75.231707 131.225922 212.039036 319.593531 468.447775
2025-06-15 17.018169 39.723273 76.522283 134.929100 219.778971 333.261795 490.933809
2025-06-22 16.066942 38.695054 75.998850 135.894020 223.644510 341.747556 506.656895
2025-06-29 15.154708 37.669685 75.424356 136.739521 227.318760 349.980024 522.083805